September 17, 2014
1- Madison Wisconsin Subgroup of AAII
Open to the public:
Madison
Meeting location:
Sequoya Branch of the Madison Public Library
4340 Tokay Blvd.
Madison, WI 53711
(608) 266-6385
Contact: Jared Bessert, 608-298-9008, MadVest@sbcglobal.net
September 17th, 2014
6PM to 8:30 PM
2- Milwaukee Wisconsin Chapter of the American Association of Individual Investors
Seminar starts about 7PM:
Milwaukee/Brookfield
Meeting location:
Midway Hotel Brookfield
1005 South Moorland Road
Brookfield, WI – 53005
(262) 786-9540
bestwesternplus.hotelsavings.com/
Contact: Katherine McCombe, 262-523-8310, 800-965-4967, Katherine.mccombe@morganstanley.com
September 18, 2014
6PM to 8:30 PM
Market tone
There were very few economic reports this past week but the few that came out continued to show economic growth:
- According to the Commerce department, retail sales in August rose by 0.6%, in line with analyst expectations. August sales were 5% higher than a year ago, the largest in 1 -year
- According to the Federal Reserve, consumer credit (spending) increased by $26.0 billion in July to $3.24 trillion resulting in an annualized growth rate of 10%, the largest in 3 years. This was the first time since the recession of 2008 that revolving balances have accelerated for 5 straight months, reflecting growing consumer confidence
- According to the Commerce Department, business inventories increased by 0.4% in July




7 comments… add one
Alan,
I know there must be an obvious answer to this but curious why you publish weekly stock reports but recommend monthly options. I’m enjoying my membership and really excited about learning all about options.
Thank you!
Chris
Chris,
The report we use the most is the one immediately after expiration Friday. However, there are times we will close one of our positions with one of the exit strategies detailed in my books/DVDs. In those situations we want our members to select a replacement security using the most up-to-date information and so we screen our stocks weekly.
Alan
Two additional (and major) differences between ETFs and the underlying indexes are:
The ETFs have more volume, and so the bid-ask spreads are narrower; the indexes can be harder to trade (especially if you want to exit the position early).
Index options cannot be exercised early. This eliminates a major and potentially unpleasant surprise. If you do spreads or condors, having one of the short strikes exercised early could be quite negative financially. With calls, the consequence are not so severe.
I believe that index options can be traded on the Saturday after Friday expiration. If so, taking action on the Friday, assuming the option had expired, could be premature.
Premium Members,
The Weekly Report for 09-12-14 has been uploaded to the Premium Member website and is available for download.
Also, be sure to check out the latest BCI Training Videos and “Ask Alan” segments. You can view them at The Blue Collar YouTube Channel. For your convenience, the BCI YouTube Channel link is:
http://www.youtube.com/user/BlueCollarInvestor
Best,
Barry and The BCI Team
Hi Alan,
What if I buy a stock (e.g.) BX & 32,37 and sell ITM @ 32 and OTM @ 33 in the same time.
Isn’t it a kind of diversification ?
Thanks for your opinion.
Petr
Petr,
It sure is. Strike price diversification is a sound approach to cc writing when selling multiple contracts on the same underlying. If your overall market assessment is bullish and chart technicals are positive, we are more likely to favor OTM strikes and vice-versa. Personal risk tolerance also plays a role. At the end of my weekly blog articles I share my current strike price diversification based on my overall market assessment and my personal risk-tolerance.
Good point.
Alan
Premium members:
This week’s 8-page report of top-performing ETFs and analysis of ALL Select Sector Components has been uploaded to your premium site. The report also lists Top-performing ETFs with Weekly options as well as the implied volatility of all eligible candidates.
For your convenience, here is the link to login to the premium site:
http://www.thebluecollarinvestor.com/member/login.php
NOT A PREMIUM MEMBER? Check out this link:
http://www.thebluecollarinvestor.com/membership.shtml
I am currently in Milwaukee, Wisconsin and hope to see local BCI members at my seminars in Madison and Brookfield on Wednesday and Thursday, the 17th and 18th of this month.
Alan